Paper trading results, not financial advice. Every number on this site is a simulated backtest or a simulated forward paper run with no real money. Past or hypothetical performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold anything.

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The 14-Minute Claude Bot (20/50 MA Crossover)

Buy SPY when the 20-day average crosses above the 50-day; go to cash when it crosses back below.

Viral source: X post: 'Full tutorial to build your own AI trading bot with Claude in 14 minutes' (Claude Code + Alpaca MCP, 20/50-day MA)
Reach: 685,001 impressions, 1,660 bookmarks (X API, read 2026-10-16)

How faithful is our rebuild? Faithful: the source strategy is daily 20/50 MA crossover.

Rebuild it yourself: free prompt →

Forward paper run Simulated · no real money

Started 2026-10-16 with $10,000. Execution: built-in simulator. Just started: no forward trades have closed yet. Check back as new daily bars arrive.

0.0%total return
—CAGR
0.0%max drawdown
—Sharpe (rf = 0)
0closed trades
—win rate
$10,000ending equity from $10,000

Signal at the latest close (fills next open): BUY SPY

Backtest Hypothetical · 2019-01-02 → 2026-10-16

+92.1%total return
+8.8%CAGR
-28.2%max drawdown
0.74Sharpe (rf = 0)
16closed trades
56.2%win rate
$19,211ending equity from $10,000

Same window, SPY buy & hold: +244.4% (max drawdown -33.7%).

$10k$10k$35k2019-01-022026-10-16
14-Minute Claude Bot (20/50 MA Crossover)SPY buy & hold · log scale · BACKTEST

Still open at end of backtest SPY bought 2026-04-24 @ 707.5212 (unrealized +7.9%) ·
Win rate only counts closed trades. Open losers don't show up in it.

Trade log Backtest · 16 closed trades

SymbolEntryEntry priceExitExit priceQtyP&LReturnExit reason
SPY2025-05-15576.2942026-03-03669.49326.600089$2,479+16.2%signal
SPY2025-02-05589.3622025-03-10556.37627.552339-$909-5.6%signal
SPY2024-09-04536.4132025-01-15578.66728.061581$1,186+7.9%signal
SPY2024-05-21514.3582024-08-12520.30328.930436$172+1.2%signal
SPY2023-11-21437.2662024-04-29495.21330.048864$1,741+13.3%signal
SPY2023-04-14395.4452023-08-29425.17930.903081$919+7.5%signal
SPY2023-01-30384.3892023-03-15367.88433.218279-$548-4.3%signal
SPY2022-11-14376.7992023-01-04365.334.954094-$402-3.0%signal
SPY2022-08-02387.0462022-09-19362.75736.307123-$882-6.3%signal
SPY2022-04-04426.8372022-05-03390.53835.982415-$1,306-8.5%signal
SPY2021-10-29426.592022-01-26413.44837.147687-$488-3.1%signal
SPY2020-10-21316.8152021-10-04404.78339.148878$3,444+27.8%signal
SPY2020-05-01261.0772020-10-02305.77740.562054$1,813+17.1%signal
SPY2019-09-19271.712020-03-04278.20438.064999$247+2.4%signal
SPY2019-06-28263.6452019-08-19263.03139.321065-$24-0.2%signal
SPY2019-02-01241.1932019-05-30250.0441.460643$367+3.7%signal

Assumptions